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CAN THE CHEMICAL INDUSTRY MAKE A COMEBACK?


Publication: THE SUNDAY GAZETTE-MAIL
Published: 05/11/2003
Page: 1D
Headline: CAN THE CHEMICAL INDUSTRY MAKE A COMEBACK?
Byline: MARTYN CHASE


What's the future of the chemicals industry in the Kanawha Valley?


Is it doomed to continue its long-term downhill slide and eventually wither and die?


The prognosis isn't encouraging. Employment continues to fall year after year as additional facilities are cut back.


Most of the chemical plants in the Valley were designed and built for commodity chemical production. To be blunt, that's not where the action is these days for U.S. outfits. Commodity chemical producers are racing offshore to China and other low-cost locations as fast as they can.


While the recent Kanawha Valley Chemical Heritage Symposium highlighted past successes and an intriguing history, George E. Keller II was pondering highly pertinent questions about the industry's future.


Keller is vice president of NewCarbon LLC in Charleston and a former Union Carbide executive. He knows the chemicals business inside out. He retired in 1997 as senior corporate research fellow and manager of separations and process fundamentals at Union Carbide.


Keller succinctly surveyed the global chemicals landscape - and West Virginia's role in it - for the monthly update for Industries of the Future-West Virginia program. He noted that the chemical industry, like many others in manufacturing, is going through a period of "agonizing" change.


From the 1930s through the 1970s, plants producing ethylene and propylene, the key petrochemical building blocks, were constructed at a rapid rate in the United States. Since then, virtually no new plants have been built in the U.S.


Instead, massive olefin and olefin-derivatives plants have been built in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Malaysia and elsewhere in the Middle East and Far East.


"The primary lure is cheap oil and gas, because raw material costs are typically the single largest contributor to the cost of producing commodity chemicals," Keller noted. Other factors favoring offshore production include less stringent environmental regulations, lower labor costs and lower tax rates.


Is there anything we can do to reverse the significant cost advantages other nations have over us? Keller asked. "It's not likely."


So what can be done? One obvious but tough choice: "Incorporate advanced technologies and switch to producing specialty chemicals where raw material costs are far less important," he wrote.


This trend already is well underway. But where does that leave chemical plants in West Virginia, most of which were built for commodity production?


Are we doomed to watch these continue to be shut down and demolished?


The plants in the Kanawha Valley have a number of things working in their favor, Keller said. These include power, steam, cooling water, wastewater treatment facilities, laboratories, infrastructure - and most of all, land. There's an abundance of flat land that makes them "extremely valuable sites for new production facilities," he noted.


So how do you match up old plants with new products?


The first step is to inventory everything these sites already have, Keller suggested, including infrastructure, equipment and human talent. Next, and more difficult: Decide what to put into these sites.


After that, a series of other questions need to be addressed. These include: Will the owners be willing to tackle the job of reworking their plants, or are they interested in leasing to others who would be interested in making new products? What incentives and programs are available to assist in restructuring these companies? How can area universities help? What federal, state or private resources are available?


"It's a daunting task, but if we wish to stop the continuing downward slide of chemical plants in the state, we need answers and actions - ASAP," Keller concluded.


To contact business editor Martyn Chase, use e-mail or call 348-5156.


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